Understanding the Commercial Real Estate Investment Ecosystem An Early Warning System Prototype

Understanding the Commercial Real Estate Investment Ecosystem An Early Warning System PrototypeUnderstanding the Commercial Real Estate Investment Ecosystem An Early Warning System Prototype

I. Introduction

This section introduces the concept of a Commercial
Real Estate (CRE) downturn indicator prototype. Market fundamentals are summarized and several commonly held misconceptions about CRE are addressed.

Design Considerations

The Early Warning System prototype predicts there is a greater than 70% chance of a downturn in the next year in at least six major commercial real estate markets in the US.

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